1st period totals

Tuesday, September 29, 2026 · 5 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

VAN@EDM

10:00 PM ET

1.92Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -583

57% Over 1.5 · fair -134

30% Over 2.5 · fair +231

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
VANLast season	82	0.83	1.06	1.89	84%	56%	32%	8.4	9.5	1-4 1-1 2-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	1.20	1.40	2.60	90%	70%	60%	8.6	10.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	1.55	2.45	95%	70%	50%	9.4	10.4
EDMLast season	82	1.00	0.95	1.95	80%	57%	34%	9.4	8.7	1-3 3-0 2-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.60	0.90	2.50	90%	80%	50%	10.4	9.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.20	0.85	2.05	80%	65%	35%	11.0	8.4

FLA@CAR

5:00 PM ET

1.90Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -566

57% Over 1.5 · fair -130

30% Over 2.5 · fair +239

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
FLALast season	82	0.93	0.90	1.83	83%	49%	30%	9.1	9.0	1-0 2-1 2-0 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.60	0.90	2.50	90%	70%	50%	9.1	7.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.10	2.10	80%	65%	35%	9.1	8.1
CARLast season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5	1-0 1-1 3-1 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	1.60	0.60	2.20	90%	70%	50%	10.4	4.8
Home (last 20)	20	1.35	0.90	2.25	95%	65%	35%	11.3	6.1

MTL@TOR

7:00 PM ET

1.80Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -504

54% Over 1.5 · fair -116

27% Over 2.5 · fair +272

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MTLLast season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7	0-3 0-3 1-2 1-1 4-1
Last 10	10	1.60	1.70	3.30	100%	100%	70%	7.8	11.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.85	1.85	85%	55%	25%	8.7	9.1
TORLast season	82	0.84	0.99	1.83	85%	62%	23%	7.8	10.3	0-1 3-0 0-2 1-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	90%	70%	30%	6.9	11.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	1.30	2.35	100%	80%	35%	7.5	11.4

NYR@BOS

8:00 PM ET

1.80Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -504

54% Over 1.5 · fair -116

27% Over 2.5 · fair +272

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
NYRLast season	82	0.82	0.95	1.77	84%	51%	26%	7.6	9.3	1-0 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	70%	50%	20%	7.8	8.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	1.25	2.45	95%	80%	45%	7.4	9.2
BOSLast season	82	0.99	0.84	1.83	83%	61%	26%	9.1	8.8	0-2 0-1 0-4 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	70%	50%	30%	7.3	11.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	0.55	1.60	75%	50%	25%	8.7	9.5

CHI@VGK

10:30 PM ET

1.68Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -435

50% Over 1.5 · fair +100

24% Over 2.5 · fair +323

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
CHILast season	82	0.74	0.88	1.62	77%	54%	22%	8.1	9.6	0-1 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	20%	7.9	9.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.75	1.60	80%	55%	20%	8.2	9.7
VGKLast season	82	0.76	0.98	1.73	84%	50%	22%	9.0	7.9	0-1 1-1 1-3 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.50	1.10	1.60	80%	40%	30%	7.0	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.40	0.95	1.35	75%	35%	20%	8.6	8.9

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.