1st period totals

Tuesday, April 21, 2026 · 4 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

BOS@BUF

1st period: BOS 0, BUF 0

1.90Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -566

57% Over 1.5 · fair -130

30% Over 2.5 · fair +239

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	82	0.99	0.84	1.83	83%	61%	26%	9.1	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 4-0 1-1 0-0 3-2
Last 10	10	1.20	0.90	2.10	80%	60%	40%	7.3	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	1.00	1.85	80%	60%	30%	8.6	9.6
BUFThis season	82	1.02	0.94	1.96	91%	57%	28%	9.0	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 1-1 1-0 2-1
Last 10	10	1.00	0.90	1.90	90%	50%	30%	10.3	8.1
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.85	1.85	95%	55%	30%	9.6	8.1

MTL@TBL

1st period: MTL 1, TBL 1

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -523

55% Over 1.5 · fair -120

28% Over 2.5 · fair +261

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-2 0-0 1-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.40	0.70	1.10	70%	30%	10%	7.9	9.1
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.75	1.60	85%	45%	20%	7.8	9.6
TBLThis season	82	0.96	0.93	1.89	83%	54%	28%	9.0	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.40	0.80	1.20	60%	40%	20%	7.9	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.50	1.10	1.60	75%	55%	20%	8.4	10.4

UTA@VGK

1st period: UTA 1, VGK 1

1.73Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -462

51% Over 1.5 · fair -106

25% Over 2.5 · fair +301

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
UTAThis season	82	0.93	0.79	1.72	82%	59%	21%	9.1	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 1-0 0-2 0-2
Last 10	10	1.10	1.20	2.30	100%	70%	40%	9.8	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.75	1.60	75%	50%	30%	8.4	8.9
VGKThis season	82	0.76	0.98	1.73	84%	50%	22%	9.0	7.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.30	0.50	0.80	70%	10%	0%	10.0	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.45	0.90	1.35	75%	25%	20%	9.4	7.9

LAK@COL

1st period: LAK 0, COL 0

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -445

51% Over 1.5 · fair -102

24% Over 2.5 · fair +314

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
LAKThis season	82	0.73	0.74	1.48	78%	41%	18%	9.1	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 1-1 2-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	70%	50%	10%	8.6	8.4
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.75	1.65	80%	50%	20%	8.3	7.7
COLThis season	82	1.17	0.74	1.91	80%	59%	27%	11.7	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.50	1.20	50%	40%	10%	11.7	7.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	0.95	1.90	70%	50%	25%	12.9	7.7

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.