1st period totals

Sunday, May 3, 2026 · 2 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

MTL@TBL

1st period: MTL 1, TBL 0

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -523

55% Over 1.5 · fair -120

28% Over 2.5 · fair +261

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MTLThis season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7	0-0 1-0 0-0 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.50	0.60	1.10	60%	40%	10%	8.3	7.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	0.70	1.50	85%	45%	15%	8.0	9.1
TBLThis season	82	0.96	0.93	1.89	83%	54%	28%	9.0	9.1	0-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.30	0.60	0.90	60%	30%	0%	6.8	7.7
Home (last 20)	20	0.50	1.20	1.70	80%	60%	20%	8.1	10.1

MIN@COL

1st period: MIN 2, COL 3

1.82Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -515

54% Over 1.5 · fair -118

27% Over 2.5 · fair +265

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MINThis season	82	0.91	0.80	1.72	80%	51%	27%	8.9	9.5	1-0 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.90	2.00	100%	70%	30%	9.8	8.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.10	0.90	2.00	80%	60%	35%	10.2	9.6
COLThis season	82	1.17	0.74	1.91	80%	59%	27%	11.7	8.8	1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.10	0.70	50%	20%	0%	12.7	7.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	0.85	1.70	65%	45%	20%	12.7	7.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.