1st period totals

Thursday, May 21, 2026 · 1 game

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

MTL@CAR

1st period: MTL 4, CAR 1

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -546

56% Over 1.5 · fair -125

29% Over 2.5 · fair +248

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MTLThis season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7	2-0 3-2 2-3 2-1 1-1
Last 10	10	1.50	0.90	2.40	90%	70%	40%	8.8	8.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.80	1.70	85%	50%	20%	8.4	9.1
CARThis season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5	0-1 1-0 1-2 2-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.30	1.20	80%	30%	10%	9.1	6.8
Home (last 20)	20	1.25	0.65	1.90	95%	55%	20%	11.2	6.2

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.