1st period totals

Friday, October 2, 2026 · 5 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

ANA@VGK

10:00 PM ET

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -493

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +279

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
ANALast season	82	0.82	1.01	1.83	80%	56%	29%	9.6	9.4	0-3 1-1 2-1 0-3 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.50	2.30	80%	80%	60%	10.7	7.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.85	1.40	65%	55%	15%	9.5	9.8
VGKLast season	82	0.76	0.98	1.73	84%	50%	22%	9.0	7.9	0-1 1-1 1-3 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.50	1.10	1.60	80%	40%	30%	7.0	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.40	0.95	1.35	75%	35%	20%	8.6	8.9

WSH@CAR

7:00 PM ET

1.77Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -490

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +281

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
WSHLast season	82	0.83	0.76	1.59	78%	43%	21%	8.9	9.0	0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.90	2.00	70%	50%	30%	7.6	9.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.70	0.85	1.55	75%	40%	20%	7.7	8.9
CARLast season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5	1-0 1-1 3-1 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	1.60	0.60	2.20	90%	70%	50%	10.4	4.8
Home (last 20)	20	1.35	0.90	2.25	95%	65%	35%	11.3	6.1

BOS@WPG

8:00 PM ET

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -448

51% Over 1.5 · fair -103

24% Over 2.5 · fair +311

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
BOSLast season	82	0.99	0.84	1.83	83%	61%	26%	9.1	8.8	0-2 0-1 0-4 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	70%	50%	30%	7.3	11.4
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.85	1.70	75%	50%	30%	8.7	9.1
WPGLast season	82	0.79	0.78	1.57	79%	54%	16%	8.4	9.0	1-2 0-1 0-0 1-3 1-1
Last 10	10	0.50	1.30	1.80	90%	60%	20%	8.4	10.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	0.65	1.35	70%	50%	10%	8.0	8.1

STL@DAL

9:00 PM ET

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -445

51% Over 1.5 · fair -102

24% Over 2.5 · fair +314

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
STLLast season	82	0.80	0.96	1.77	79%	59%	26%	7.8	9.4	1-1 1-3 1-2 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	1.10	1.60	2.70	90%	90%	40%	8.8	10.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	1.10	1.90	80%	65%	25%	8.1	9.1
DALLast season	82	0.88	0.74	1.62	78%	51%	21%	7.8	7.6	0-1 1-1 1-1 2-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.20	1.90	90%	70%	30%	6.5	9.5
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	0.95	1.90	75%	60%	35%	7.7	6.7

NYR@DET

6:30 PM ET

1.57Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -379

46% Over 1.5 · fair +115

21% Over 2.5 · fair +380

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
NYRLast season	82	0.82	0.95	1.77	84%	51%	26%	7.6	9.3	1-0 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	70%	50%	20%	7.8	8.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	1.25	2.45	95%	80%	45%	7.4	9.2
DETLast season	82	0.60	0.77	1.37	78%	43%	12%	8.1	9.0	0-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	100%	50%	10%	7.8	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.80	1.45	85%	45%	10%	8.1	8.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.