1st period totals

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · 9 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

CAR@MTL

7:00 PM ET

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -546

56% Over 1.5 · fair -125

29% Over 2.5 · fair +248

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
CARLast season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5	1-0 1-1 3-1 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	1.60	0.60	2.20	90%	70%	50%	10.4	4.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.35	0.50	1.85	90%	55%	30%	10.0	7.3
MTLLast season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7	0-3 0-3 1-2 1-1 4-1
Last 10	10	1.60	1.70	3.30	100%	100%	70%	7.8	11.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	1.15	2.05	85%	70%	40%	8.9	9.9

MIN@BUF

7:00 PM ET

1.84Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -531

55% Over 1.5 · fair -122

28% Over 2.5 · fair +256

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MINLast season	82	0.91	0.80	1.72	80%	51%	27%	8.9	9.5	3-0 1-0 2-0 1-2 2-3
Last 10	10	1.40	1.00	2.40	100%	80%	40%	9.8	9.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.90	2.05	80%	60%	35%	10.6	9.7
BUFLast season	82	1.02	0.94	1.96	91%	57%	28%	9.0	9.1	0-2 2-3 3-2 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.60	1.30	2.90	100%	90%	50%	9.9	9.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	0.85	1.75	90%	50%	25%	9.3	8.4

NSH@TOR

7:00 PM ET

1.82Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -519

54% Over 1.5 · fair -119

28% Over 2.5 · fair +263

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
NSHLast season	82	0.82	1.00	1.82	84%	54%	24%	8.8	10.3	2-2 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.50	1.30	70%	30%	20%	8.8	8.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	0.75	1.55	80%	50%	15%	8.7	10.3
TORLast season	82	0.84	0.99	1.83	85%	62%	23%	7.8	10.3	0-1 3-0 0-2 1-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	90%	70%	30%	6.9	11.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	1.30	2.35	100%	80%	35%	7.5	11.4

UTA@NJD

7:00 PM ET

1.74Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -468

52% Over 1.5 · fair -108

25% Over 2.5 · fair +296

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
UTALast season	82	0.93	0.79	1.72	82%	59%	21%	9.1	8.3	0-1 1-1 0-2 2-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	100%	70%	0%	7.5	10.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	0.85	1.80	85%	60%	30%	8.4	8.6
NJDLast season	82	0.78	0.98	1.76	88%	49%	22%	9.8	8.6	0-4 2-0 1-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	0.90	1.50	2.40	100%	70%	40%	9.7	9.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	1.00	1.80	80%	60%	25%	9.9	8.2

STL@CHI

8:00 PM ET

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -445

51% Over 1.5 · fair -102

24% Over 2.5 · fair +314

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
STLLast season	82	0.80	0.96	1.77	79%	59%	26%	7.8	9.4	1-1 1-3 1-2 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	1.10	1.60	2.70	90%	90%	40%	8.8	10.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	1.10	1.90	80%	65%	25%	8.1	9.1
CHILast season	82	0.74	0.88	1.62	77%	54%	22%	8.1	9.6	0-1 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	20%	7.9	9.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	1.15	1.90	85%	60%	30%	7.3	9.1

NYI@NYR

7:30 PM ET

1.68Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -438

50% Over 1.5 · fair -101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +320

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
NYILast season	82	0.78	0.82	1.60	80%	49%	23%	8.9	9.1	0-1 0-0 0-1 2-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.90	1.30	80%	40%	10%	8.7	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.75	1.30	80%	30%	15%	8.3	9.7
NYRLast season	82	0.82	0.95	1.77	84%	51%	26%	7.6	9.3	1-0 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	70%	50%	20%	7.8	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	0.95	1.55	85%	45%	20%	6.6	9.8

VGK@SEA

9:40 PM ET

1.66Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -425

49% Over 1.5 · fair +103

23% Over 2.5 · fair +331

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
VGKLast season	82	0.76	0.98	1.73	84%	50%	22%	9.0	7.9	0-1 1-1 1-3 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.50	1.10	1.60	80%	40%	30%	7.0	9.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.80	1.70	85%	50%	30%	8.9	7.6
SEALast season	82	0.70	0.89	1.59	73%	56%	23%	8.5	9.8	0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.50	0.80	1.30	60%	50%	20%	8.7	10.4
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	1.10	1.80	80%	70%	25%	8.7	10.3

FLA@LAK

10:00 PM ET

1.65Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -422

49% Over 1.5 · fair +103

23% Over 2.5 · fair +334

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
FLALast season	82	0.93	0.90	1.83	83%	49%	30%	9.1	9.0	1-0 2-1 2-0 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.60	0.90	2.50	90%	70%	50%	9.1	7.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.10	2.10	80%	65%	35%	9.1	8.1
LAKLast season	82	0.73	0.74	1.48	78%	41%	18%	9.1	8.3	0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.40	1.10	70%	30%	10%	8.5	8.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	1.00	1.80	90%	45%	30%	9.9	8.6

OTT@DET

7:00 PM ET

1.60Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -397

48% Over 1.5 · fair +110

22% Over 2.5 · fair +360

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
OTTLast season	82	0.95	0.89	1.84	82%	60%	29%	9.3	7.6	0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.60	1.20	70%	30%	10%	8.5	8.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.85	1.70	80%	50%	25%	9.4	7.6
DETLast season	82	0.60	0.77	1.37	78%	43%	12%	8.1	9.0	0-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	100%	50%	10%	7.8	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.80	1.45	85%	45%	10%	8.1	8.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.